What’s Driving MLB Attendance This Year? Part 1

What’s Driving MLB Attendance This Year? Part 1

You see the title, but do you have an answer?  Sure there are a multitude of different factors driving attendance, but certain factors are more influential than others.  On the one hand you have your basic promotions – Fireworks night, T-shirt night, Bobble head day, Bark in the Park, etc. On the other hand, the game itself seems to draw certain fans – take for instance, rivalries, or perhaps a new team coming into town (The Blue Jays hadn’t ever hosted the Mets prior to this season….did you really think I would talk about baseball without plugging my Mets?). What about star power? Is a big time player coming to a town near you?  All of these aspects and more factor into sales and attendance.

I bring this up because Major League Baseball (MLB) has reported an increase in game day attendance from last year – 6% to be exact. This is surprising to MLB execs because in recent years (probably the last 3-4 years) the League was actually witnessing a decline in attendance.  The current spike in attendance is great news, and again, leads us to the main question – what has driven this recent surge in attendance?

If we compare this year’s attendance to its recent regression, we can try to isolate some of the aspects that may have been absent last year, which are present this year. While there are a number of different dynamics, lets see if we can pinpoint some…

SOCIAL MEDIA – Though its not something that was absent last year, the majority of teams have made it a point to increase their social media efforts. The Cubs recently had a social media night, The Giants and other teams have added wireless dimensions to their ballparks, and teams are consistently using facebook and tiwtter as a means to attract fans (FB contests, in-game tweets, etc.). This is being done both individually by teams, and together as a league so MLB can get in touch with its younger fan base.

WEATHER – You wouldn’t have thought about this one, huh? Well, for sport managers and sport marketers weather is a big deal. Would you want to come to a game in April if you were freezing your behind off? Me neither. Sport marketers are very concerned with the weather and know that if the weather is good, fans will want to come out to enjoy a game.  But how has this year’s weather compared to last year’s weather? Is there any way to know? Well of course there is – its 2012…get with it. The Government has issued a ‘State of the Climate‘ address, and has said the following:

January-April 2012 was the warmest such period on record for the contiguous United States…Twenty-six states, all east of the Rockies, were record warm for the four-month period, and an additional 17 states had temperatures for the period among their ten warmest.

If you’re Al Gore you hate that…but  if you’re an MLB exec you love that…. What else?

TEAMS IN BIG MARKETS ARE DOING WELL – In another attempt to plug the Mets, here’s my chance. The Mets aren’t doing half bad…don’t believe me? Check the standings.  While you’re there, check out the Orioles’ record, and go ahead see how the White Sox and Dodgers are doing. These are big markets, and in concern to these big markets, we all know one thing –  winning brings in fans. What’s that saying, again?…”if you win it, they will come” (…that’s it, right?). Big markets simply bring more fans, and if their teams are doing well, MLB is sure to be happy. Success in places like Chicago and L.A. is great for MLB; so too is success in Washington…something else we will talk about in Part 2…

While there’s probably plenty more to talk about, these are some themes present this season that were not present last season. Lets face it, Baltimore and the Dodgers weren’t all too great last year, and this year is a different story. Tomorrow I’ll try to have my buddy come in and talk about some of the other main contrasts…until then, send me some ideas if you have anything else to add…

 

Share on TwitterShare on TumblrSubmit to StumbleUponShare via email

Tags: , , , ,

  • http://www.facebook.com/zachkoenig Zach Koenig

    Player moves (Pujols to the Angels, Yuuuu to the Rangers) and huge organizational changes (Dodgers’ new ownership) are surely factors in creating intrigue and rejuvenating fanbases. You forgot to mention the Rangers as a successful team in a big market, DFW.  
    Great post, brudda.

    • Brandon Brown

      You got it – players are coming tomorrow, I’ll make sure he gives a Yuuuu shout out ;)

  • Jacob Cooper

    Remember, wins and losses are a zero-sum game. So if one team is doing surprisingly well (the Mets) then other teams are also doing surprisingly poorly (Phillies). So, in theory, the attendance increase from the Mets winning should be offset by the Phillies losing. However, we are seeing teams with very strong fan bases struggle (for example, Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, Cubs) whose fans will come to the park whether their team is winning or not. And teams with “fair-weather” fans are doing well (Baltimore, Tampa, Washington).

    However, I think the biggest factor is simply the economy improving. The unemployment rate is about 1% point better this year compared to last year, and 2% points better than 2 years ago. Also, I believe most Americans have been tightening the belts in their budgets for the past 2 years and now have some more breathing room in their budgets as the economy is improving.

    Unemployment source: http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=z1ebjpgk2654c1_&ctype=l&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=h&met_y=unemployment_rate&fdim_y=seasonality:U&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:US&ifdim=country&tstart=1166680800000&tend=1334984400000&hl=en&dl=en&ind=false&q=unemployment+rate

    • Brandon Brown

      Thanks for the source Coop! – should really help!….and yeah, you are right with the the zero-sum game, something I probably should have touched on a tad more…

      • Jacob Cooper

        Also, I don’t think it really matters attendance-wise whether a team is a big or small market team; the size of the market has much more influence on media contracts. Since most MLB stadiums are in the 40-50k range, and some big market teams have pretty small stadiums (Boston) I don’t think the size of the market matters too much.

        • Brandon Brown

          Well, big markets have big followings; more so than small markets. For example, if the Mets accomplished what the Rays did over the last few years, there would have been a substantial difference in overall attendance (As in, what the Mets would have brought in, in comparison to what the Rays did not bring in) …but I see what you are getting at…

  • Brandon Brown

    Both of you guys are on point….actually tomorrow Adam (if not, then me) is going to talk about Star Power and the Economy (both points you guys brought up) . 

  • Pingback: What’s Driving MLB Attendance This Year? Part 2 | The Academy of Sport Management

Rimons twitter widget by Rimon Habib